Total Forecast · 6 Locations
For the seven days ending Friday, May 15, 2026
$114,197
Peak Trading Day
$20,677
Sunday May 10 · Mother's Day
Softest Day
$13,269
Monday May 11 · 75% rain forecast
Strongest Store
IDrive
$21,177 · 18.5% of group total
Daily Forecast Distribution
Peak
Forecast
Soft
Per-Store Performance
Forecast Visualizations
Daily Forecast Ledger
Forecast disclaimer. Projections assume typical operating conditions and the trend trajectory observed in the trailing 28 days. Material deviations may occur if weather differs from projections, if Epic Universe demand shifts, or if STR occupancy at Lake Cay or Sheraton Vistana changes unexpectedly. Re-run forecast daily as new actuals arrive from Crunchtime.
Methodology & Confidence
Model Architecture
- Baseline. 28-day trailing window partitioned by day-of-week.
- Recency weights. Week 1 (oldest) 10% · Week 2 20% · Week 3 30% · Week 4 (most recent) 40%.
- Trend factor. Most recent 7-day total divided by 4-week average.
- Blend formula. Final = base × (0.70 + 0.30 × trend).
- Event overlays. Mother's Day, weather, school calendar applied per store sensitivity.
Trend Factors per Store
Confidence Bands
Risk Considerations
- Upside. Stronger tourist arrivals, brunch traffic on Mother's Day.
- Downside. Heavy rainfall events, STR booking softness at Lake Cay.
- Universal volatility. Epic Universe demand swings post-AP launch.
- YoY noise. Historic May 8, 2025 rain inflates current YoY %.
Forecast Intelligence
Weather Outlook · Orlando
Last Year Anomalies
Calendar & Events
Trading Context
Event Impact Matrix
Theme Park & Resort Context
Theme Park Attendance
2026 projected visitors
Resort & Hotel Capacity
Room counts within tourist corridor
School Calendar Overlay
School in session
Weekend
Special schedule
After last day